Mixed movement ang inaasahan sa presyo ng petrolyo next week: rollback sa gasolina, pero taas-presyo sa diesel.
Batay sa mga pag-unlad sa presyo hanggang nitong Huwebes, sinabi ni Jetti Petroleum president Leo Bellas na posibleng bumaba ang presyo ng gasolina ng P1 hanggang P1.50 kada litro.
Sa diesel, kabaligtaran ang galaw. Posibleng tumaas ito ng P4 hanggang P4.50 kada litro.
Ayon kay Bellas, umaakyat ang crude oil at refined fuel prices dahil sa panibagong kaba sa Middle East, kabilang ang naudlot na diplomacy talks at banta ng supply disruption.
“Crude oil and refined fuel products prices have rallied this week on worries of stalled diplomacy and prolonged supply disruption following the suspension of negotiations on the peace deal, and renewed threats by Iran of full closure of the Strait of Hormuz,” ani Bellas.
Dagdag niya, nadagdagan ang pressure sa presyo dahil sa pangambang lumiit pa ang global oil inventories.
“Concerns that global oil inventories could hit critical levels if stock draws continue at the current pace further contributed to the bullish sentiment,” ani Bellas.
Mas tinatamaan ang diesel at middle distillates dahil sa pagtaas ng crude oil benchmarks at paglayo ng pag-asang maresolba agad ang Middle East conflict.
Sinabi ni Bellas na ang pagtaas ng diesel at middle distillate “reflected the sharp surge in crude oil price benchmarks as the prospect of a resolution in the Middle East conflict has faded, sparking worries that further disruption of feedstock availability from the region would result in faster depletion of global stock inventories as peak summer demand approaches.”
Sa gasolina, mas maluwag ang galaw dahil sa dagdag-supply mula regional refineries at mahinang demand sa ilang bahagi ng Asia.
“For gasoline, prices have declined due to increased supply from regional refineries and signals of weak demand in some parts of Asia.”
Pero hindi pa rin maluwag ang buong supply outlook sa Asia dahil mababa pa rin ang inventories at inuuna ng refineries ang middle distillate production.
“Nevertheless, the supply outlook in Asia remains tight and inventories remaining relatively low as refineries prioritize middle distillate production,” ani Bellas.
Ayon pa kay Bellas, lumambot ang global oil prices matapos ang ceasefire deal ng Israel at Lebanon, habang may pag-asang magpapatuloy ang peace talks ng United States at Iran.
“Following the recent ceasefire deal between Israel and Lebanon, global oil prices have softened and likely to ease down further as hopes that the peace talks between the US and Iran will continue.”
Dagdag niya, posibleng bumaba ang Asian benchmark prices sa Mean of Platts Singapore sa trading ngayong araw.
Ayon kay Bellas, ang galaw na ito “are likely to go down in today’s trading, potentially pushing the possible increase on diesel to the lower range of the estimate, and the rollback on gasoline to the higher side.”
Hihintayin pa ang final announcements ng oil companies bago ipatupad ang adjusted pump prices next week. /Bistado